[Analysis of long-term prognosis and risk factors in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy].

Objective: To investigate the risk factors and long-term prognosis of major adverse cardiovascular events(MACEs) in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Methods: This study was a single-center retrospective cohort study. Clinical information from 300 patients with DCM hospitalized in Peking Union Medical College Hospital from April 2013 to April 2023 was collected. Based on echocardiography results, the patients were divided into two groups: isolated DCM and DCM with left ventricular non-compaction cardiomyopathy (LVNC). The MACEs, including major heart failure events, severe ventricular arrhythmias, and cardiovascular death, were recorded by outpatient or telephone follow-up. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with DCM. Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank were used for survival analysis to compare the difference in the incidence of cardiovascular events between the two groups. Results: The included 300 DCM patients were (47.8±16.8) years old, with 197 males (65.7%), of which 237 (79.0%) were isolated DCM and 63 (21.0%) were DCM with LVNC. The follow-up time was 4.0 (1.9, 6.2) years. A total of 142 (47.3%) MACEs occurred, including 117 (39.0%) major heart failure events, 20 (6.7%) severe ventricular arrhythmia events, and 53 (17.7%) cardiovascular death events. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that increased left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (HR=1.21, 95%CI: 1.01-1.44, P=0.042), moderate or severe mitral regurgitation (HR=1.71, 95%CI: 1.19-2.47, P=0.004), increased ln (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) (HR=1.30, 95%CI: 1.10-1.54, P=0.002) were independent risk factors for dverse cardiovascular events in DCM patients, and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB)/angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI) treatment (HR=0.45, 95%CI: 0.26-0.78, P=0.004) was independent protective factor. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis found no significant difference in the risk of MACEs between isolated DCM and DCM with LVNC (P=0.22). Similarly, there were no significant differences in the incidence of major heart failure, severe ventricular arrhythmia, and cardiovascular death between the two groups (all P>0.05). Conclusion: An increase in left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, moderate or severe mitral regurgitation, elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and non use of ACEI/ARB/ARNI are independent predictors of cardiovascular events in DCM patients. There was no significant risk of MACEs in patients with isolated DCM and DCM with LVNC, and suggested that LVNC may be a unique phenotype and should be accurately managed in combination with genetic background.

Characterisation of the octogenarians presenting to the diagnostic heart failure clinic: SHEAF registry.

INTRODUCTION: Heart failure (HF) incidence is increasing in older adults with high hospitalisation and mortality rates. Treatment is complicated by side effects and comorbidities. We investigated the clinical characteristics of octogenarians presenting to the HF clinic. METHODS: Data were collected on octogenarians (80-89 years) referred to the HF clinic in two periods. The data included demographics, HF phenotype, comorbidities, symptoms and treatment. We investigate the temporal changes in clinical characteristics using χ2 test. We aimed to determine the clinical characteristics which were associated with optimisation of HF pharmacological intervention in the clinic, conducting multivariate regression analysis. Statistical significance is determined at p<0.05. RESULTS: Data were collected in April 2012 to January 2014 and in June 2021 to December 2022. In this cross-sectional study of temporal data, 571 octogenarians were referred to the clinic in the latter period, in whom the prevalence of HF was 68.48% (391 patients). HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) was the most common phenotype and increased significantly compared with the first period (46.3% and 29.2%, p<0.001). Frailty, chronic kidney disease and ischaemic heart disease increased significantly versus the first period (p<0.001). During the second period, and following the consultation, of the patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), 86.4% and 82.7% were on a beta blocker and on an ACE inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor, respectively. Clinical characteristics associated with further optimisations of HF pharmacological therapy in the HF clinic were: New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class III and the presence of HFrEF phenotype CONCLUSIONS: With a prevalence of HF at 68% among the octogenarians referred to the HF clinic, HFpEF incidence is rising. The decision to optimise HF pharmacological treatment in octogenarians is driven by NYHA functional class III and the presence of HFrEF phenotype.

Comorbid depression among adults with heart failure in Ethiopia: a hospital-based cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Depression is a common comorbidity in adults with heart failure. It is associated with poor clinical outcomes, including decreased health-related quality of life and increased morbidity and mortality. There is a lack of data concerning the extent of this issue in Ethiopia. Consequently, this study aimed to assess the prevalence of comorbid depression and associated factors among adults living with heart failure in Ethiopia. METHODS: A hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted at the cardiac outpatient clinics of two selected specialist public hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: St. Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College and St. Peter Specialized Hospital. An interviewer-administered questionnaire was used to collect data from 383 adults with heart failure who attended the clinics and met the inclusion criteria. Depression was measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9). A binary logistic regression model was fitted to identify factors associated with depression. All statistical analyses were conducted using STATA version 17 software. RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 55 years. On average, participants had moderate depression, as indicated by the mean PHQ-9 score of 11.02 ± 6.14, and 217 (56.6%, 95%CI 51.53-61.68) had comorbid depression. Significant associations with depression were observed among participants who were female (AOR: 2.31, 95%CI:1.30-4.08), had comorbid diabetes mellitus (AOR: 3.16, 95%CI: 1.47-6.82), were classified as New York Heart Association (NYHA) class IV (AOR: 3.59, 95%CI: 1.05-12.30), reported poor levels of social support (AOR: 6.04, 95%CI: 2.97-12.32), and took more than five medications per day (AOR: 5.26, 95%CI: 2.72-10.18). CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that over half of all adults with heart failure in Ethiopia have comorbid depression, influenced by several factors. The findings have significant implications in terms of treatment outcomes and quality of life. More research in the area, including interventional and qualitative studies, and consideration of multifaceted approaches, such as psychosocial interventions, are needed to reduce the burden of comorbid depression in this population.

Associations between cardiovascular diseases and cancer mortality: insights from a retrospective cohort analysis of NHANES data.

BACKGROUND: This study explored the association of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with cancer mortality risk in individuals with or without a history of cancer, to better understand the interplay between CVD and cancer outcomes. METHODS: Utilizing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning 1999 to 2018, a retrospective cohort analysis was conducted. This analysis accounted for the survey's complex design to ensure national representativeness. The association of CVD with cancer mortality was assessed through multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The present study included 59,653 participants, of whom 54,095 did not have cancer and 5558 had a history of cancer. In individuals without cancer, heart failure (HF) was associated with an increased risk of mortality from cancer (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.09-1.69; P = 0.005). In participants with cancer, HF correlated with a higher risk of mortality from cancer (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.32-2.34; P < 0.001). Diabetes (DM), hypertension (HBP) and coronary heart disease (CHD) were not significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality from cancer. Significant differences were observed in the interaction between cancer and CHD (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.53-0.87; P = 0.002). For cancer and HBP, a similar trend was noted (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.62-0.91; P = 0.003). No significant differences were found in interactions between HF, DM and cancer. CONCLUSIONS: HF was associated with an increased risk of mortality from cancer, regardless of cancer history, while HBP, CHD and DM showed no significant association. These findings underscore the importance of understanding the mechanisms behind the increased risk of cancer mortality following HF.

Identifying subgroups in heart failure patients with multimorbidity by clustering and network analysis.

This study presents a workflow for identifying and characterizing patients with Heart Failure (HF) and multimorbidity utilizing data from Electronic Health Records. Multimorbidity, the co-occurrence of two or more chronic conditions, poses a significant challenge on healthcare systems. Nonetheless, understanding of patients with multimorbidity, including the most common disease interactions, risk factors, and treatment responses, remains limited, particularly for complex and heterogeneous conditions like HF. We conducted a clustering analysis of 3745 HF patients using demographics, comorbidities, laboratory values, and drug prescriptions. Our analysis revealed four distinct clusters with significant differences in multimorbidity profiles showing differential prognostic implications regarding unplanned hospital admissions. These findings underscore the considerable disease heterogeneity within HF patients and emphasize the potential for improved characterization of patient subgroups for clinical risk stratification through the use of EHR data.

Role of NT-proBNP and lung ultrasound in diagnosing and classifying heart failure in a hospitalized oldest-old population: a cross-sectional study.

AIM: Diagnosing and classifying heart failure (HF) in the oldest-old patients has technical and interpretation issues, especially in the acute setting. We assessed the usefulness of both N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and lung ultrasound (LUS) for confirming HF diagnosis and predicting, among hospitalized HF patients, those with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study on 148 consecutive patients aged ≥ 80 years admitted to our Internal Medicine and Geriatrics ward with at least one symptom/sign compatible with HF and NT-proBNP ≥ 125 pg/mL. We measured serum NT-proBNP levels and performed LUS and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) on admission before diuretic therapy. We divided our cohort into three subgroups according to the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF): reduced (LVEF ≤ 40%), mildly-reduced (LVEF = 41-49%) and preserved (LVEF ≥ 50%). RESULTS: The mean age was 88±5 years. Male prevalence was 42%. Patients with HFrEF were 19%. Clinical features and laboratory parameters did not differ between the three subgroups, except for higher NT-proBNP in HFrEF patients, which also had a higher number of total B-lines and intercostal spaces of pleural effusion at LUS. Overall, NT-proBNP showed an inverse correlation with LVEF (r = -0.22, p = 0.007) and a direct correlation with age, total pulmonary B-lines, and intercostal spaces of pleural effusion. According to the ROCs, NT-proBNP levels, pulmonary B-lines and pleural effusion extension were poorly predictive for HFrEF. The best-performing cut-offs were 9531 pg/mL for NT-proBNP (SP 0.70, SE 0.50), 13 for total B-lines (SP 0.69, SE 0.85) and one intercostal space for pleural effusion (SP 0.55, SE 0.89). Patients with admission NT-proBNP ≥ 9531 pg/mL had a 2-fold higher risk for HFrEF (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.3-4.9), while we did not find any association for total B-lines ≥ 13 or pleural effusion ≥ 1 intercostal space with HFrEF. A significant association with HFrEF emerged for the combination of NT-proBNP ≥ 9531 pg/mL, total B-lines ≥ 13 and intercostal spaces of pleural effusion ≥ 1 (adjusted OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.5-12.9). CONCLUSIONS: Although NT-proBNP and LUS help diagnose HF, their accuracy in discriminating HFrEF from non-HFrEF was poor in our real-life clinical study on oldest-old hospitalized patients, making the use of TTE still necessary to distinguish HF phenotypes in this peculiar setting. These data require confirmation in more extensive and longer prospective studies.

Racial-Ethnic disparities in stroke prevalence among patients with heart failure.

Racial-ethnic disparities exist in the prevalence and outcomes of heart failure (HF) and are presumed to be related to differences in cardiovascular risk factor burden and control. There is little data on stroke disparities among patients with HF or the factors responsible. We hypothesized disparities in stroke prevalence exist among patients with HF in a manner not fully explained by burden of cardiovascular disease. We analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2014). Cardiovascular profiles were compared by race/ethnicity. Using survey-weighted models, effect modification of the relationship between HF and stroke by race/ethnicity was examined adjusting for cardiovascular profiles. Of 40,437 participants, 2.5 % had HF. The HF cohort had a greater proportion of White and Black participants (77 % vs 74 % and 15 % vs 12 %, respectively) and fewer participants of Hispanic ethnicity (8 % vs 14 %). Stroke was 8 times more prevalent in HF (19.6 % vs 2.3 %, <0.001). Among individuals with HF, race-ethnic differences were identified in the prevalence and mean values of vascular risk factors but were largely driven by higher rates in Black participants. There was significant interaction between HF and race/ethnicity; HF increased the odds of stroke over 7-fold in participants of Hispanic ethnicity (aOR: 7.84; 95 % CI: 4.11-15.0) but to a lesser extent in Black and White participants (Black aOR: 2.49; 95 % CI: 1.72-3.60; White aOR: 3.36; 95 % CI: 2.57-4.40). People of Hispanic ethnicity with HF have a disproportionately higher risk of stroke in a manner not fully explained by differences in vascular risk profiles.

Stage B Heart Failure Is Ubiquitous in Emergency Patients with Asymptomatic Hypertension.

Introduction: Hypertension is the leading risk factor for morbidity and mortality throughout the world and is pervasive in United States emergency departments (ED). This study documents the point prevalence of subclinical heart disease in emergency patients with asymptomatic hypertension. Method: This was a prospective observational study of ED patients with asymptomatic hypertension conducted at two urban academic EDs that belong to an eight-hospital healthcare organization in New York. Adult (≥18 years of age) English- or Spanish-speaking patients who had an initial blood pressure (BP) ≥160/100 millimeters of mercury (mmHg) and second BP ≥140/90 mm Hg, and pending discharge, were invited to participate in the study. We excluded patients with congestive heart failure, renal insufficiency, and atrial fibrillation, or who were pregnant, a prisoner, cognitively unable to provide informed consent, or experiencing symptoms of hypertension. We assessed echocardiographic evidence of subclinical heart disease (left ventricular hypertrophy, and diastolic and systolic dysfunction). Results: A total of 53 patients were included in the study; a majority were young (mean 49.5 years old, [SD 14-52]), self-identified as Black or Other (n = 39; 73.5%), and female (n = 30; 56.6%). Mean initial blood pressure was 172/100 mm Hg, and 24 patients (45.3%) self-reported a history of hypertension. Fifty patients completed an echocardiogram. All (100%) had evidence of subclinical heart disease, with 41 (77.4%) displaying left ventricular hypertrophy and 31 (58.5%) diastolic dysfunction. There was a significant relationship between diastolic dysfunction and female gender [x2 (1, n = 53) = 3.98; P = 0.046]; Black or other race [x2 (3, n = 53) = 9.138; P = 0.03] and Hispanic or other ethnicity [x2 (2, n = 53) = 8.03; P = 0.02]. Less than one third of patients demonstrated systolic dysfunction on echocardiogram, and this was more likely to occur in patients with diabetes mellitus [x2 (1, n = 51) = 4.84; P = 0.02]. Conclusion: There is a high probability that Black, Hispanic, and female patients with asymptomatic hypertension are on the continuum for developing overt heart failure. Emergency clinicians should provide individualized care that considers their unique health needs, cultural backgrounds, and social determinants of health.

Toward a Universal Definition of Etiologies in Heart Failure: Categorizing Causes and Advancing Registry Science.

Heart failure (HF) is a well-described final common pathway for a broad range of diseases however substantial confusion exists regarding how to describe, study, and track these underlying etiologic conditions. We describe (1) the overlap in HF etiologies, comorbidities, and case definitions as currently used in HF registries led or managed by members of the global HF roundtable; (2) strategies to improve the quality of evidence on etiologies and modifiable risk factors of HF in registries; and (3) opportunities to use clinical HF registries as a platform for public health surveillance, implementation research, and randomized registry trials to reduce the global burden of noncommunicable diseases. Investment and collaboration among countries to improve the quality of evidence in global HF registries could contribute to achieving global health targets to reduce noncommunicable diseases and overall improvements in population health.

Cardiovascular outcomes following hospitalisation for exacerbation of bronchiectasis: a territory-wide study.

BACKGROUND: Although bronchiectasis is reported to be associated with cardiovascular disease, evidence for an association with cardiovascular events (CVEs) is lacking. METHODS: A territory-wide retrospective cohort study was conducted in Hong Kong involving all patients who had bronchiectasis diagnosed in public hospitals and clinics between 1 January 1993 and 31 December 2017 were included. Patients were allocated to be exacerbator or non-exacerbator group based on hospitalzied bronchiecsis history and CVEs over the next 5 years determined. Propensity score matching was used to balance baseline characteristics. RESULTS: 10 714 bronchiectasis patients (mean age 69.6±14.4 years, 38.9% men), including 1230 in exacerbator group and 9484 in non-exacerbator group, were analysed. At 5 years, 113 (9.2%) subjects in the exacerbator group and 87 (7.1%) in the non-exacerbator group developed composite CVEs. After adjustment for age, sex, smoking and risk factors for cardiovascular disease, bronchiectasis exacerbation was associated with increased risks for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), congestive heart failure (CHF) and CVE compared with those in the non-exacerbator group with adjusted HR of 1.602 (95% CI 1.006-2.552, p value=0.047), 1.371 (95% CI 1.016-1.851, p value=0.039) and 1.238 (95% CI 1.001-1.532, p=0.049) in the whole cohort. Findings were similar for the propensity score-matched cohort for AMI and CVE. CONCLUSION: Patients who were hospitalised for exacerbation of bronchiectasis were at significantly increased risk of AMI, CHF and CVE over a 5-year follow-up period.

Sodium Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors Versus Metformin on Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Patients With Diabetes With Low Cardiovascular Risk: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated whether initial SGLT2 (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitor-based treatment is superior to metformin-based regimens as a primary prevention strategy among low-risk patients with diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this nationwide cohort study, a total of 38 496 patients with diabetes with low cardiovascular risk were identified (age 62.0±11.6 years, men 50%) from January 1 to December 31, 2016. Patients receiving SGLT2 inhibitors-based and metformin-based regimens were 1:2 matched by propensity score. Study outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, hospitalization for heart failure, stroke, and progression to end-stage renal disease. Compared with 1928 patients receiving metformin-based regimens, 964 patients receiving SGLT2 inhibitor-based regimens had similar all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.51-1.12]), cardiovascular death (HR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.25-1.89]), hospitalization for heart failure (HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.59-1.92]), stroke (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.48-1.27]), and progression to end-stage renal disease (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.32-2.39]). However, SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.23-0.99]; P for interaction=0.008) and progression to end-stage renal disease (HR, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.06-0.82]; P for interaction=0.04) in patients under the age of 65. CONCLUSIONS: In comparison to metformin-based regimens, SGLT2 inhibitor-based regimens showed a similar risk of all-cause mortality and adverse cardiorenal events. SGLT2 inhibitors might be considered as first-line therapy in select low-risk patients, for example, younger patients with diabetes.

[The IN-HF Registry: the history and the scientific production for the Italian cardiology community]. / Il programma IN-HF: la storia e la produzione scientifica a favore della comunità cardiologica italiana.

The Italian Network on Congestive Heart Failure (IN-CHF) project, later known as IN-HF Online, was launched in 1995 to provide the Italian cardiology community with a digital tool, standardized across the country, for managing outpatients with heart failure (HF), that enabled the creation of a database for clinical, educational and scientific purposes. During its almost three decades of activity, this observational research program has achieved highly positive scientific results. Indeed, IN-HF fostered professional relationships among individuals working in different centers, established a cultural network for the care of HF patients, periodically updated on the scientific advances, and allowed the assessment of several clinical, epidemiological, and prognostic features. These findings have been published in numerous national and international journals, as summarized in the present overview.

Historical Redlining and Heart Failure Outcomes Following Hospitalization in the Southeastern United States.

BACKGROUND: Historical redlining, a discriminatory lending practice, is an understudied component of the patient risk environment following hospital discharge. We investigated associations between redlining, patient race, and outcomes following heart failure hospitalization. METHODS AND RESULTS: We followed a hospital-based cohort of Black and White patients using electronic medical records for acute heart failure hospitalizations between 2010 and 2018 (n=6800). Patient residential census tracts were geocoded according to the 1930s Home Owners' Loan Corporation map grades (A/B: best/still desirable, C: declining, D: redlined). We used Poisson regression to analyze associations between Home Owners' Loan Corporation grade and 30-day outcomes (readmissions, mortality, and their composite). One-third of patients resided in historically redlined tracts (n=2034). In race-stratified analyses, there was a positive association between historically declining neighborhoods and composite readmissions and mortality for Black patients (risk ratio [RR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.003-1.54]) and an inverse association between redlined neighborhoods and 30-day readmissions among White patients (RR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.39-0.86]). Examining racial disparities across Home Owners' Loan Corporation grades, Black patients had higher 30-day readmissions (RR, 1.86 [95% CI, 1.31-2.65]) and composite readmissions and mortality (RR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.04-1.65]) only in historically redlined neighborhoods. CONCLUSIONS: Historical redlining had potentially mixed impacts on outcomes by race, such that residing in less desirable neighborhoods was associated with an elevated risk of an adverse outcome following heart failure hospitalization in Black patients and a reduced risk in White patients. Moreover, racial disparities in patient outcomes were present only in historically redlined neighborhoods. Additional research is needed to explore observed heterogeneity in outcomes.

Iron Deficiency, Anemia, and Iron Supplementation in Patients With Heart Failure: A Population-Level Study.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown an association between iron deficiency (ID) and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF), irrespective of the presence of ID anemia (IDA). The current study used population-level data from a large, single-payer health care system in Canada to investigate the epidemiology of ID and IDA in patients with acute HF and those with chronic HF, and the iron supplementation practices in these settings. METHODS: All adult patients with HF in Alberta between 2012 and 2019 were identified and categorized as acute or chronic HF. HF subtypes were determined through echocardiography data, and ID (serum ferritin concentration <100 µg/L, or ferritin concentration between 100 and 300 µg/L along with transferrin saturation <20%), and IDA through laboratory data. Broad eligibility for 3 clinical trials (AFFIRM-AHF [Study to Compare Ferric Carboxymaltose With Placebo in Patients With Acute HF and ID], IRONMAN [Intravenous Iron Treatment in Patients With Heart Failure and Iron Deficiency], and HEART-FID [Randomized Placebocontrolled Trial of Ferric Carboxymaltose as Treatment for HF With ID]) was determined. RESULTS: Among the 17 463 patients with acute HF, 38.5% had iron studies tested within 30 days post-index-HF episode (and 34.2% of the 11 320 patients with chronic HF). Among tested patients, 72.6% of the acute HF and 73.9% of the chronic HF were iron-deficient, and 51.4% and 49.0% had IDA, respectively. Iron therapy was provided to 41.8% and 40.5% of patients with IDA and acute or chronic HF, respectively. Of ID patients without anemia, 19.9% and 21.7% were prescribed iron therapy. The most common type of iron therapy was oral (28.1% of patients). Approximately half of the cohort was eligible for each of the AFFIRM-AHF, intravenous iron treatment in patients with HF and ID, and HEART-FID trials. CONCLUSIONS: Current practices for investigating and treating ID in patients with HF do not align with existing guideline recommendations. Considering the gap in care, innovative strategies to optimize iron therapy in patients with HF are required.

Acute kidney injury in hospitalized patients with nonmalignant pleural effusions: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Nonmalignant pleural effusion (NMPE) is common and remains a definite health care problem. Pleural effusion was supposed to be a risk factor for acute kidney injury (AKI). Incidence of AKI in NMPE patients and whether there is correlation between the size of effusions and AKI is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence of AKI in NMPE inpatients and its association with effusion size. STUDY DESIGN AND METHOD: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of inpatients admitted to the Chinese PLA General Hospital with pleural effusion from 2018-2021. All patients with pleural effusions confirmed by chest radiography (CT or X-ray) were included, excluding patients with diagnosis of malignancy, chronic dialysis, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), community-acquired AKI, hospital-acquired AKI before chest radiography, and fewer than two serum creatinine tests during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic regression and LASSO logistic regression models were used to identify risk factors associated with AKI. Subgroup analyses and interaction tests for effusion volume were performed adjusted for the variables selected by LASSO. Causal mediation analysis was used to estimate the mediating effect of heart failure, pneumonia, and eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 on AKI through effusion volume. RESULTS: NMPE was present in 7.8% of internal medicine inpatients. Of the 3047 patients included, 360 (11.8%) developed AKI during hospitalization. After adjustment by covariates selected by LASSO, moderate and large effusions increased the risk of AKI compared with small effusions (moderate: OR 1.47, 95%CI 1.11-1.94 p = 0.006; large: OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.05-3.20 p = 0.028). No significant modification effect was observed among age, gender, diabetes, bilateral effusions, and eGFR. Volume of effusions mediated 6.8% (p = 0.005), 4.0% (p = 0.046) and 4.6% (p < 0.001) of the effect of heart failure, pneumonia and low eGFR on the development of AKI respectively. CONCLUSION: The incidence of AKI is high among NMPE patients. Moderate and large effusion volume is independently associated with AKI compared to small size. The effusion size acts as a mediator in heart failure, pneumonia, and eGFR.

Clarifying the causal contrast: An empirical example applying the prevalent new user study design.

PURPOSE: The prevalent new user design extends the active comparator new user design to include patients switching to a treatment of interest from a comparator. We examined the impact of adding "switchers" to incident new users on the estimated hazard ratio (HR) of hospitalized heart failure. METHODS: Using MarketScan claims data (2000-2014), we estimated HRs of hospitalized heart failure between patients initiating GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) and sulfonylureas (SU). We considered three estimands: (1) the effect of incident new use; (2) the effect of switching; and (3) the effect of incident new use or switching, combining the two population. We used time-conditional propensity scores (TCPS) and time-stratified standardized morbidity ratio (SMR) weighting to adjust for confounding. RESULTS: We identified 76 179 GLP-1 RA new users, of which 12% were direct switchers (within 30 days) from SU. Among incident new users, GLP-1 RA was protective against heart failure (adjHRSMR = 0.74 [0.69, 0.80]). Among switchers, GLP-1 RA was not protective (adjHRSMR = 0.99 [0.83, 1.18]). Results in the combined population were largely driven by the incident new users, with GLP-1 RA having a protective effect (adjHRSMR = 0.77 [0.72, 0.83]). Results using TCPS were consistent with those estimated using SMR weighting. CONCLUSIONS: When analyses were conducted only among incident new users, GLP-1 RA had a protective effect. However, among switchers from SU to GLP-1 RA, the effect estimates substantially shifted toward the null. Combining patients with varying treatment histories can result in poor confounding control and camouflage important heterogeneity.

Characteristics of Postoperative Heart Failure in Older Hip Fractures Patients Combined with Coronary Heart Disease and Construction of a Prediction Model of Nomogram, a Retrospective Cohort Study.

Introduction: Older patients combined with coronary heart disease (CHD) develop acute heart failure (AHF) after hip fracture surgery is common, and this study aimed to investigate the risk factors of postoperative AHF in older hip fracture patients and to construct a nomogram prediction model. Methods: We retrospectively collected older hip fracture patients with CHD who underwent hip fracture surgery at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2017 to December 2021. We divided them into a training set and a validation set. We collected the demographic data, laboratory indicators and imaging examination results. We identified risk factors for postoperative AHF and used R language software to establish a nomogram prediction model, plot ROC curves, calibration curves and DCA decision curves. Results: We retrospectively collected 1288 older hip fractures patients with CHD. After excluding 214 patients who did not meet the criteria, 1074 patients were included in our research and we divided them into the training set and the validation set. In the training set, a total of 346 (42.8%) patients developing postoperative AHF. Through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, we identified the risk factors for postoperative AHF and constructed a nomogram prediction model. The AUC of the prediction model is 0.778. The correction curve shows that the model has good consistency. The decision curve analysis shows that the model has good clinical practicality. Conclusion: There were 42.8% older patients combined with CHD develop postoperative AHF. Among them, fracture type, age, anemia at admission, combined with COPD, ASA ≥ 3, and preoperative waiting time >3 days are risk factors for postoperative AHF. We constructed a nomogram prediction model that can effectively predict the risk of postoperative AHF in older hip fracture patients combined with CHD.

Assessment of new-onset heart failure prediction in a diabetic population using left ventricular global strain: a prospective cohort study based on UK Biobank.

Background: Impaired glucose utilization influences myocardial contractile function. However, the prognostic importance of left ventricular global radial strain (LV-GRS), left ventricular global circumferential strain (LV-GCS), and left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS) in predicting new-onset heart failure (HF) in a population with diabetes is unclear. Methods: The study design is prospective cohort from the UK Biobank. Totally 37,899 participants had a complete data of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), of which 940 patients with diabetes were included, and all the participants completed follow-up. LV-GRS, LV-GCS, and LV-GLS were measured by completely automated CMR with tissue tagging. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and C-index was performed to evaluate the association between the strain parameters and the new-onset HF in patients suffering from diabetes. Results: The average age of the 940 participants was 57.67 ± 6.97 years, with males comprising 66.4% of the overall population. With an average follow-up period of 166.82 ± 15.26 months, 35 (3.72%) patients reached the endpoint (emergence of new-onset HF). Significant associations were found for the three strain parameters and the new-onset HF (LV-GRS-hazard ratio [HR]: 0.946, 95% CI: 0.916-0.976; LV-GCS-HR: 1.162, 95% CI: 1.086-1.244; LV-GCS-HR: 1.181, 95% CI: 1.082-1.289). LV-GRS, LV-GCS, and LV-GLS were closely related to the related indicators to HF, and showed a high relationship to new-onset HF in individuals with diabetes at 5 and 10 years: LV-GRS: 0.75 (95% CI, 0.41-0.94) and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.44-0.98), respectively; LV-GCS: 0.80 (95% CI, 0.50-0.96) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.41-0.98), respectively; LV-GLS: 0.72 (95% CI, 0.40-0.93) and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.48-0.97), respectively. In addition, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and presence of hypertension or coronary artery disease (CAD) made no impacts on the association between the global strain parameters and the incidence of HF. Conclusion: LV-GRS, LV-GCS, and LV-GLS is significantly related to new-onset HF in patients with diabetes at 5 and 10 years.

Temporal trends in lifetime risks of atrial fibrillation and its complications between 2000 and 2022: Danish, nationwide, population based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine how the lifetime risks of atrial fibrillation and of complications after atrial fibrillation changed over time. DESIGN: Danish, nationwide, population based cohort study. SETTING: Population of Denmark from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2022. PARTICIPANTS: 3.5 million individuals (51.7% women and 48.3% men) who did not have atrial fibrillation at 45 years of age or older were followed up until incident atrial fibrillation, migration, death, or end of follow-up, whichever came first. All 362 721 individuals with incident atrial fibrillation (46.4% women and 53.6% men), but with no prevalent complication, were further followed up until incident heart failure, stroke, or myocardial infarction. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation and lifetime risks of complications after atrial fibrillation over two prespecified periods (2000-10 v 2011-22). RESULTS: The lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation increased from 24.2% in 2000-10 to 30.9% in 2011-22 (difference 6.7% (95% confidence interval 6.5% to 6.8%)). After atrial fibrillation, the most frequent complication was heart failure with a lifetime risk of 42.9% in 2000-10 and 42.1% in 2011-22 (-0.8% (-3.8% to 2.2%)). Individuals with atrial fibrillation lost 14.4 years with no heart failure. The lifetime risks of stroke and of myocardial infarction after atrial fibrillation decreased slightly between the two periods, from 22.4% to 19.9% for stroke (-2.5% (-4.2% to -0.7%)) and from 13.7% to 9.8% for myocardial infarction (-3.9% (-5.3% to -2.4%). No evidence was reported of a differential decrease between men and women. CONCLUSION: Lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation increased over two decades of follow-up. In individuals with atrial fibrillation, about two in five developed heart failure and one in five had a stroke over their remaining lifetime after atrial fibrillation diagnosis, with no or only small improvement over time. Stroke risks and heart failure prevention strategies are needed for people with atrial fibrillation.

The influence of diagnostic subgroups, patient- and hospital characteristics for the validity of cardiovascular diagnoses-Data from a Norwegian hospital trust.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular discharge diagnoses may serve as endpoints in epidemiological studies if they have a high validity. Aim was to study if diagnoses-specific characteristics like type, sub-categories, and position of cardiovascular diagnoses affected diagnostic accuracy. METHODS: Patients (n = 7,164) with a discharge diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction, heart failure or cerebrovascular disease were included. Data were presented as positive predictive values (PPV) and sensitivity. RESULTS: PPV was high (≥88%) for acute myocardial infarction (n = 2,189) (except for outpatients). For heart failure (n = 4,026) PPV was 67% overall, but higher (>99%) when etiology or echocardiography was included. For hemorrhagic (n = 257) and ischemic (n = 1,034) strokes PPVs were 87% and 80%, respectively, with sensitivity of 79% and 75%. Transient ischemic attacks (n = 926) had PPV 56%, but sensitivity 86%. Primary diagnoses showed higher validity than subsequent diagnoses and inpatient diagnoses were more valid than outpatient diagnoses (except for transient ischemic attack). The diagnoses of acute myocardial infarction and heart failure where most valid when placed at cardiology units, while ischemic stroke when discharged from an internal medicine unit. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnoses of acute myocardial infarction and stroke had excellent validity when placed during hospital stays. Similarly, heart failure diagnoses had excellent validity when echocardiography was performed before placing the diagnosis, while overall the diagnoses of heart failure and transient ischemic attack were less valid. In conclusion, the results indicate that cardiovascular diagnoses based on objective findings such as acute myocardial infarction and stroke have excellent validity and may be used as endpoints in clinical epidemiological studies with less rigid validation.